Obama will win Hispanic vote in November

I've been saying for a while that Obama's support among Hispanic voters is quite natural and have predicted (quite safely of course) he'll win the Hispanic vote. Since 2006 it's been pretty safe to talk about the Hispanic vote as a base-vote constituency of the Democratic Party. Sure the GOP is going to fight like heck for support in the Hispanic community. But let's not fool ourselves, at least at the presidential level, Dems start with a giant advantage.

With that said, there's a lot of evidence from past election cycles that essentially shows that when Dems win 70 % of the Hispanic vote they win the White House and when the GOP scores 40 % they win. The ground in the middle is where this all gets fun. And that's the segment, beyond the Hispanic conservatives, that McCain is going to go after.

Baltimore Sun's Katie Fretland reports on Gallup poll showing Obama with a massive 30-point advantage over McCain among Hispanics. 

Gallup's Jeffrey M. Jones reports that McCain faces a struggle to attract the support of the Hispanic community given the "consistent and solid support" for Obama recently.

"Some political experts assumed Obama's struggle to attract widespread Hispanic support in the primaries would carry over into the general-election campaign against the Republican candidate." Jones reports. "But Hispanics have become a reliable Democratic voting bloc, and have so far shown little difficulty in transferring their loyalties from Clinton to Obama... Hispanic voters could be crucial in key swing states such as New Mexico, Colorado, and Florida."